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Georgia, with its long history of the suppression of Black voters, has been ground zero for fights about voting rights laws for decades. The result has been a slew of laws that included restrictions to voting, like limiting voting by mail and adding voter ID requirements. He found that the growing racial turnout gap since the Supreme Court’s decision in Shelby had been felt most acutely by younger voters across the country. In Bulloch County, Ga., Winston County, Miss., and Newberry County, S.C., the racial turnout gap among young voters grew by 20 percentage points or more between the 2012 and 2020 elections. Seeing a more substantial racial turnout gap among young voters cuts against some conventional wisdom about recent changes to voting laws.
Persons: Barack Obama, Lowndes County —, Georgia —, Michael Podhorzer, Lowndes, Obama, Holder, , Podhorzer, ” Podhorzer, Biden, Bernard Fraga, ” Fraga, Emily Elconin, Donald Trump, I’ve Organizations: Black, Republican, Justice Department, Brennan, Valdosta State University, Emory University, The New York Times, The Times, Times Locations: Georgia, Lowndes County, Shelby County, Shelby, Bulloch County ,, Winston County, Miss, Newberry County, S.C, Atlanta, Dearborn, Mich, Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Nevada , Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Wisconsin, onpolitics@nytimes.com
The Supreme Court and Young Voter Turnout
  + stars: | 2024-03-22 | by ( Nick Corasaniti | ) www.nytimes.com   time to read: +1 min
Georgia, with its long history of the suppression of Black voters, has been ground zero for fights about voting rights laws for decades. The state has often seen stark differences in turnout between white and nonwhite communities, with the latter typically voting at a much lower rate. But not always: In the 2012 election, when Barack Obama won a second term in the White House, the turnout rate for Black voters under 38 in Lowndes County — a Republican-leaning county in southern Georgia — was actually four percentage points higher than the rate for white voters of a similar age. According to new research by Michael Podhorzer, the former political director of the A.F.L.-C.I.O., by 2020, turnout for younger white voters in Lowndes was 14 percentage points higher than for Black voters of the same age. It is impossible to tell for certain, with many variables, such as Obama no longer being on the ballot.
Persons: Barack Obama, Lowndes County —, Georgia —, Michael Podhorzer, Lowndes, Obama Organizations: Black, Republican Locations: Georgia, Lowndes County
What does President Biden have to do to catch up to Donald Trump? Unless the media and other trusted nonpartisan civil society institutions are forthright in affirming that the 2024 election is not a contest between two politicians, Donald Trump and Joe Biden, but a virtual constitutional referendum, Trump could win. The most recent NBC News poll, conducted at the end of January, has Trump favored over Biden by a substantial 47-42 percent. Six of these states — all but North Carolina — voted for Biden in 2020. Trump now leads Biden in all seven of them.
Persons: Biden, Donald Trump, Michael Podhorzer, Podhorzer, Joe Biden, Trump, MAGA, , Carolina — Organizations: AFL, NBC, Trump, Biden, Voters, Republican, Democratic, Bloomberg, Carolina Locations: Arizona , Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, California, New York, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada , North Carolina , Pennsylvania
A New York Times and Siena College poll released Nov. 5 showed Donald Trump leading Joe Biden in five of the six key swing states, with a notable jump in support among nonwhite and young voters. In response, Democrats freaked out. But then two days later, voters across the country actually went to the polls, and Democrats and Democratic-associated policy did pretty well. I asked Mike Podhorzer, a longtime poll skeptic, to help to help me understand the apparent gap between the polls and the ballot box. And as the founder of the Analyst Institute, he was the godfather of the data-driven turn in Democratic campaign strategy.
Persons: Donald Trump, Joe Biden, freaked, Andy Beshear, , Ezra Klein, Mike Podhorzer, Podhorzer, Organizations: New York Times, Siena College, Democratic, Apple, Spotify, Amazon Music, Google, Analyst Institute Locations: Kentucky, Virginia, Ohio
The median voter rule still applies. The median voter rule says parties win when they stay close to the center of the electorate. The Democrats’ strong showing in elections across the country this week proves how powerful the median voter rule is, especially when it comes to the abortion issue. This year, Democrats and their supporters effectively played to median voters, with, for example, an ad in Ohio in which a father who grew up in the church castigated the G.O.P. And if you’re truly living out your faith, you’re not playing into these anger and hatred games.”
Persons: MAGA, , Biden doesn’t, Ron DeSantis, Vivek Ramaswamy, Andy Beshear, E.J, Dionne Jr, you’re, Organizations: Jackson, Health Organization, Gov, Democrat, Washington Post Locations: It’s, Dobbs v, Ohio, Kentucky
CNN —The arc of Rep. Mike Johnson’s career encapsulates the shifting priorities of the religious right in the era of Donald Trump. More than half of White evangelicals agreed with that statement as well – the only major religious denomination in which it found majority support. Yet both groups are much more influential inside the GOP coalition, with evangelicals representing nearly one-third of Republican voters and all White Christians about two-thirds. But in Congress, Johnson has also identified more with some of the party’s Trump-era priorities that revolve around demographic change. But each man appears equally committed to a vision of America that elevates the moral and political preferences of conservative White Christians over any other group.
Persons: Mike Johnson’s, Donald Trump, Barack Obama’s, Johnson, MAGA, Long, Trump’s, Trump, Robert P, Jones, Johnson “, , Mike Podhorzer, ” Podhorzer, Jimmy Carter, Jerry Falwell, Pat Robertson, James Dobson, ” Jones, Dobson, CNN’s KFile, KFile, he’s, Ron DeSantis, Marjorie Taylor, it’s, ” Johnson, He’s, , Biden, who’s, PRRI, there’s, Tresa Undem, Undem, White, George W, Bush, Obama, Pete Wehner, Wehner, David Barton, Barton, that’s, ” Wehner, , ” Barton Organizations: CNN, Louisiana Republican, Republican, GOP, Yorker, Trump, Survey, Religion Research Institute, White, AFL, CIO, Republicans, Representatives, Alliance Defense Fund, Defending, Gov, Georgia Rep, Whites, Trinity Forum, , NBC News, Trump - Locations: Louisiana, America, White, , Florida, Mexico
In 2020, Mr. Trump won about four in 10 voters in union households, according to exit polls and an internal survey by the A.F.L.-C.I.O. “The demographics of union members are the ones who’ve been trending away from Democrats for quite some time,” he said. Mr. Trump emphasized “a set of issues that union members never agreed with Democrats on,” most prominently immigration, Mr. Podhorzer added. But Mr. Thompson, who joined Ford two years ago and has worked up to $20 an hour, did not blame the president. “I would say he’s doing the best under the circumstances that he can,’’ Mr. Thompson said.
Persons: Trump, Michael Podhorzer, , Podhorzer, don’t, , Biden, Anthony Thompson, Uleana, Thompson, , Mr Organizations: Mr, Ford
Another example: For a while it looked like the Republican Party could appeal to social conservatives but maintain the economic policy supported by business elites. The Republicans are making the argument that their cultural and economic values are consistent with working class Americans, and that their positions transcend racial categories. I asked Teixeira whether the changing Democratic Party has reached a point of no return on this front, and he emailed back:A good and big question. In the short run it looks very difficult for them to shed much of their cultural radicalism and generally make the party more attractive to normal working class voters. That is, if enough of the party becomes convinced their coalition is too narrow and therefore some compromises and different approaches are necessary.
Persons: White, Eitan Hersh, Sarang Shah, Hersh, , they’d, ” Hersh, Ruy Teixeira, , ” Teixeira, Teixeira, Michael Podhorzer, Organizations: United, Tufts, Berkeley, American, Democratic, Republican, Democratic Party, Republican Party, Democrats, Republicans, Trump, American Enterprise Institute, AFL Locations: U.S, United States, , America, nonwhite
“We need to separate by red states and blue states and shrink the federal government,” Greene said in a tweet on President’s Day this year. Blue state governors, legislatures and mayors might respond to such an offensive in forceful ways difficult to predict today. The Republican-appointed majority on the US Supreme Court has encouraged the red state social offensive with decisions that stripped away national rights – most prominently on abortion and voting. “Given the make-up of the courts, it’s difficult for blue states to be hopeful about this,” says Kettl. “The United States does not get to assume that it lasts forever.”
Persons: we’ve, , Donald Kettl, Donald Trump, I’ve, ’ “, Trump, Daniel Cox, Alan Wolfe, Wolfe, ” Wolfe, , Joe Biden, Trump –, Abraham Lincoln, Marjorie Taylor Greene, Kevin McCarthy, ” Greene, Susan Stokes, Stokes, he’s, Biden, Jim Crow, Cox, Michael Podhorzer, what’s, MAGA, Eric Liu, Liu, Richard Nixon’s, Liu’s, ” Liu Organizations: CNN, America, University of Maryland’s School of Public Policy, Republican “, American Enterprise Institute, Boston University, Republican, Democratic, Chicago Center, Democracy, University of Chicago, CBS, Trump, National Guard, Fugitive, , US, GOP, White House, AFL, Citizen University Locations: United States, States, America, Black, Confederate States, Georgia, Midwest, Heartland, Great, New York, Memphis, Austin, Blue, Michigan , Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona
LONDON, Nov 18 (Reuters) - Israel's Econergy Renewable Energy (ECNR.TA) has secured 250 million euros ($258 million) of financing from French asset manager RGREEN INVEST to strengthen its investments in renewable energy projects across Europe, the firm said on Friday. RGREEN INVEST will provide 87.5 million euros in corporate financing to Econergy International Limited, the British subsidiary of the Israeli-listed company, to strengthen the company's pipeline development and growth plans in Britain. Another 163 million euros of investment will be provided to support the construction of solar and wind projects across Europe. Econergy develops solar, wind and storage projects and has more than 7.5 gigawatts (GW) of projects under development in countries such as Italy, Spain, Britain, Romania, Poland and Greece. ($1 = 0.9686 euros)Reporting by Nina Chestney; Editing by Josie KaoOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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